Bloomberg's New Vaccine Tracker Estimates When Life Will Go Back to Normal
Seven years.
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Bloomberg has painstakingly put together all available data on COVID-19 vaccinations into one interactive tracker that estimates how long it will take for life to return to normal.
According to many health experts, life without the threat of COVID-19 can be achieved when the world reaches herd immunity: when enough people in a population have developed protection from a virus to prevent it from easily spreading. Several experts, like Dr. Anthony Fauci, have noted that herd immunity is attainable once 70 – 85 percent of the population is vaccinated.
While there isn’t an easy answer to the big question of when the COVID-19 pandemic will end, there have been a handful of educated guesses by some tenable sources. For example, many have claimed that life in the U.S. will return to some sense of normalcy by the end of 2021.
Bloomberg has estimated that the world needs almost 7 years to reach herd immunity at the current rate of vaccination — 4,607,324 doses per day, globally. According to Bloomberg, Israel will be the first country to reach herd immunity, and the U.S. will reach herd immunity “just in time to ring in the 2022 New Year.”
It’s worth noting, however, that this estimate doesn’t take into account how companies are working to ramp up production. Vaccine supply will increase, which will help countries distribute vaccines to more groups. Furthermore, additional vaccines are expected to be authorized, like Johnson & Johnson and Novavax’s, which have already released trial data for Phase 3.
Bloomberg’s interactive tracker is likely to show better estimates once vaccination rates improve. See for yourself on Bloomberg’s website.
In case you missed it, iOS 14.5 will allow users to unlock Apple iPhones while wearing masks.